Team AKD Doing Well - But needs to get the Goals

Survey Reflects Election Results, Challenge Lies in Sustaining Gains

A recent survey conducted by Verité Research indicates a sharp rise in the government’s approval rating following the election. The approval rating increased from 24% in July 2024 to 62% in February 2025, while disapproval dropped significantly from 60% to 16%.

Economic Sentiment Improves

For the first time since the economic crisis, a majority (55%) believe Sri Lanka’s economic conditions are improving. This marks a significant rise from 30% in July 2024. Meanwhile, the proportion of people who think the economy is in poor condition has declined from 71% to 47%.

Key Survey Findings:

Government Approval: 62% approve, 16% disapprove

Economic Outlook: 55% say conditions are getting better, 14% believe they are worsening

State of Economy: 35% rate it as "good" or "excellent," while 47% consider it "poor"

Survey Methodology

The survey, conducted as part of Verité Research’s Syndicated Surveys instrument, was carried out by Vanguard Survey (Pvt) Ltd. It was based on a nationally representative sample of 1,050 Sri Lankan adults between January 31 and February 5, 2025. The margin of error is ±3.0% at a 95% confidence level.

The findings suggest that the government’s post-election approval boost is closely tied to improved economic sentiment. However, sustaining these positive trends remains a key challenge.

This survey paints a clear picture of post-election sentiment in Sri Lanka. The sharp increase in government approval aligns with improving economic perceptions, but the challenge lies in maintaining this momentum.

Would you like an analysis of potential factors contributing to these shifts, or insights into how the government might sustain this approval?
Beyond the Survey 

Beyond the survey results, sustaining public approval and economic optimism presents several challenges for the government. While the numbers indicate a clear post-election boost, long-term success will depend on structural reforms, economic recovery, and managing public expectations.

Challenges Ahead

Economic Stability & Inflation Control – While public sentiment on the economy has improved, Sri Lanka is still recovering from its worst financial crisis. Inflation control, debt restructuring, and attracting foreign investment remain critical. A failure in these areas could quickly erode public trust.

Cost of Living & Wages – A rise in government approval doesn’t necessarily mean people are feeling a tangible difference in their daily lives. If wage growth fails to keep up with inflation, dissatisfaction could return.
Corruption & Governance – One of the major reasons for public frustration in previous years has been corruption and mismanagement. If the government does not deliver on accountability and transparency, approval ratings could slip.

Youth & Middle-Class Expectations – The youth and urban middle class played a key role in political shifts over the past few years. If economic opportunities, job creation, and social mobility remain stagnant, their disillusionment could resurface.

Geopolitical Balancing – Sri Lanka’s economic ties with China, India, and Western nations require careful navigation. Over-reliance on any one power could create economic vulnerabilities or political tensions.
The NPP’s Role & Positive Contributions

The National People’s Power (NPP), led by the JVP, has emerged as a key force in shaping political discourse, even if they didn’t win the election. Their influence has contributed positively in several ways:

Policy-Driven Opposition – Unlike traditional opposition parties that focus solely on criticism, the NPP has emphasized structured policy proposals, particularly on economic reforms, anti-corruption measures, and social welfare.

Pushing for Accountability – The NPP’s strong stance against corruption and inefficiency has pressured the ruling government to act more transparently and deliver on reforms.

Raising Public Awareness – Their campaigns have focused on educating the public on financial mismanagement, debt crises, and policy alternatives, fostering a more informed electorate.

Mobilizing the Youth – With a strong youth base, the NPP has brought fresh political engagement, encouraging younger generations to take an active role in governance and decision-making.

Strengthening Democratic Discourse – Their presence has intensified policy debates and discussions on economic recovery, governance, and social justice, ensuring that the government is held accountable.

What Lies Ahead?

While the government enjoys a post-election approval surge, maintaining it will require continued economic recovery, public sector efficiency, and addressing long-standing governance issues. The role of the opposition, particularly the NPP, will be crucial in ensuring democratic accountability and keeping key issues in the public eye. The months ahead will test whether this optimism is a temporary relief or the start of sustained progress